qshinoの日記

Powershell関係と徒然なこと

米国大統領選2020 議事堂襲撃後アンケート

就任式前後支持率

https://morningconsult.com/2021/01/25/morning-consult-political-intelligence-biden-job-approval-polling/

poll after capitol insurrection

https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/news-polls/abc-news-rioting-democracy-011021

BIDEN 264 TRUMP 214 72,075,757 votes 68,600,187 votes

Live coverage / Biden wins Michigan in vital step towards presidency as Trump tries to challenge results

Georgia 16 electoral college votes Est. vote count 98% Polls closed a day ago Candidate Votes Percent Donald Trump 2,430,156 49.6% Joe Biden 2,407,589 49.2% Jo Jorgensen 60,276 1.2% Why does it matter? Long a Republican stronghold, southern Georgia has recently become more of a battleground state due to its growing black electorate. In the 2018 governor’s election, Republican Brian Kemp defeated Democrat Stacey Abrams by just 1.4 percentage points.

North Carolina 15 electoral college votes Est. vote count 94% Polls closed a day ago Candidate Votes Percent Donald Trump 2,732,084 50.1% Joe Biden 2,655,383 48.7% Jo Jorgensen 47,215 0.9% Why does it matter? Historically Republican-leaning, North Carolina has become increasingly competitive in recent years. The state’s recent voting patterns mirror a national trend towards more polarisation, with cities swinging further towards the Democrats and rural areas towards the Republicans.

Pennsylvania 20 electoral college votes Est. vote count 89% Polls closed a day ago Candidate Votes Percent Donald Trump 3,215,983 50.7% Joe Biden 3,051,565 48.1% Jo Jorgensen 73,082 1.2% Why does it matter? Pennsylvania was one of the largest states to swing to Trump in the 2016 election. He won the state by a margin of just 0.7 percentage points, turning it Republican for the first time since 1992.

Florida 29 electoral college votes Est. vote count 99% Winner called a day ago Candidate Votes Percent Donald Trump 5,658,404 51.2% Joe Biden 5,283,904 47.8% Jo Jorgensen 70,037 0.6% Why does it matter? Florida has voted with the eventual winner in all but one presidential election since 1964. It is also the swing state with the largest population and the most electoral college votes.

More key states How does the election work? The winner of the election is determined through a system called the electoral college. Each of the 50 states, plus Washington DC, is given a number of electoral college votes, adding up to a total of 538 votes. More populous states get more electoral college votes than smaller ones.

A candidate needs to win 270 electoral college votes (50% plus one) to win the election.

In every state except two – Maine and Nebraska – the candidate that gets the most votes wins all of the state’s electoral college votes.

Due to these rules, a candidate can win the election without getting the most votes at the national level. This happened at the last election, in which Donald Trump won a majority of electoral college votes although more people voted for Hillary Clinton across the US.

How are the results reported? The election results on this page are reported by the Associated Press (AP). AP “call” the winner in a state when they determine that the trailing candidate has no path to victory. This can happen before 100% of votes in a state have been counted.

Estimates for the total vote in each state are also provided by AP. The numbers update throughout election night, as more data on voter turnout becomes available.